USD Bearish Trend Fully Restored
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USD Bearish Trend Fully Restored

Authored by Ivan Delgado

Ivan Delgado is a decade-long Forex Trader. Feel free to follow Ivan on Youtube. Join thousands of traders who follow Ivan's insights to increase their profitability rate by learning the ins and outs of how to read and trade financial markets. Ivan has you covered with in-depth technical market analysis to help you turn the corner.

Let’s get started…

Scan Of The Markets

To see an expanded version, right-click and select ‘open link in new tab‘. The indices show the performance of a currency vs a G8 FX basket. 

It’s all about the broad-based USD weakness as the currency resumes its underlying bearish trend. The selling of the USD was also spurred by the ongoing rise in US stocks where the S&P 500, after the 34% COVID19-led decline, made a new all time high.

Among the basket of the 8 currencies monitored, the fortitude of the Sterling is what stands outs as well as the ongoing outperformance of Gold and Silver as the Go-To investment vehicles at a time of loss trust in the US Dollar. The rejuvenation of the Kiwi, finally putting an end to its eye-popping losing streak, is worth noting too.

As I illustrate below as part of the Watchlist where I select the markets in trending mode, it is dominated by the USD as the currency to seek out short exposure. The structures and the momentum tell us a clear picture that it is the world’s reserve currency the one we want to be stalking on an intraday basis to find swing opportunities.

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Trending Markets On My Radar

In this section, I short-list the markets that meet the criteria, or are about, in order to engage on a directional trend off higher timeframes through a 15m chart entry. To get a deeper dive into the markets included in this section, watch my daily video.

This selection is done after analyzing markets through key metrics (Fractals and SMT) in different timeframes (4h and daily). A video on the power of the SMT can be found here “How To Trade Forex Trends Like A Pro“. The video “Fractals + SMT: The Multi-timeframe Functionality” is also a Must-Watch to fully grasp this style of analysis. 


Hot Trade Of The Day

To see an expanded version, right-click and select ‘open link in new tab‘. In this section I pick a market or several ones that presented an opportunity to buy on weakness or sell on strength based on the higher timeframes outlook. My video analysis below will further elaborate on the logic behind the trade.   

Insights Into Market Studies

In this video analysis I dissect the information above. Ultimately, it is the traders’ call, via a set of entries thoroughly backtested, to enter and manage a position, hence the video is intended as educational in nature and not financial advice. 

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Recent Economic Indicators & Events Ahead

Source: Forexfactory

If interested in the best ‘free of charge’ News Indicator that displays data on past and future news in the Forex market via MT4, check this YouTube video I produced. The indicator allows you to save time, avoid mistakes. It’s spot on!

Important Footnotes

MARKET STRUCTURES

Markets evolve in cycles followed by a period of distribution and/or accumulation. To understand the principles applied in the assessment of market structures, refer to this video. Fractal breakouts is at the epicenter to assist us in the analysis of chart structures.

MARKET MOMENTUM 

In order to assess the market momentum of a particular asset, I’ve promoted for years the idea of using what I call the smart money tracker. The settings and the indicator can be obtained via our Discord room, where traders from all walks of life interact frequently. In this video I lay out the elements I look into to call trend directions.

PROJECTION TARGETS

The usefulness of the 100% projection resides in the symmetry and harmonic relationships of market cycles. By drawing a 100% projection, you can anticipate the area in the chart where some type of pause and potential reversals in price is likely to occur, due to 1. The side in control of the cycle takes profits 2. Counter-trend positions are added by contrarian players 3. These are price points where limit orders are set by market-makers. You can find out more by reading the tutorial on The Magical 100% Fibonacci Projection